There was an AI critic on Diary of a CEO recently, Ed Zitron, who talked about the con of AI by its creators and expensive subscriptions. Will you respond to it since we now depend on you as our coach?
Yeah, you're talking about Ed Zitron. He has gained some notoriety recently. This isn't the first time he's talked in a public forum about his beliefs surrounding why AI is tanking. If you really wanted to understand his track record around predictions, just type in 'Ed Zitron prediction track record.' You'll see that virtually every single prediction this guy has made in the last four years about AI has been extremely wrong. I don't mean to say he's a [__] or a dumb person, but you have to understand incentives on the internet. He is rewarded by his audience and financially every time he makes a statement like 'AI is ridiculous, it's the worst,' because obviously there's an audience for that. There's a market need for somebody to channel the anger and frustration people have around AI through him. We just saw this with my Twitter post, for instance—I was the collective scapegoat for tens of millions of people's fury and anger about how AI is taking away their ability to steer the course of their destiny. Anyway, check this out. As I previously warned, 'AI companies are running out of data' back in April 2024—it was a prediction that models can't improve because there's no more data. That was wrong. 'Have we reached peak AI?' in March 2024—he suggested hallucinations mean AI progress is limited. That was wrong. February 2024: 'I believe we're reaching the upper limits of what generative AI can do and how accurate its outputs can be.' Do you know what models we were using back in February 2024? I think the number one most commonly used model back then was like 4.0. 'o1 shows that OpenAI is desperate and out of ideas.' Wrong. This one was particularly egregious: 'OpenAI's forecast of $3.7B revenue and $11.6B in 2025 and $100B in 2029 are absurd. It's a statement so egregious that I'm surprised it's not some kind of financial crime to say it out loud.' The 2025 goal was heavily exceeded. Anthropic hit like three to four x that now? 'Anthropic making $34.5B revenue in 2027 is laughable on so many levels.' They ended up doing that in 2026. So they greatly exceeded that in 2026. Virtually every one of these suck. It sucks to say, but the guy doesn't really make good predictions on this. I would not take him seriously. A lot of people are going to have a lot of opinions and be very confident in those opinions. You just need to look at the last four years of progress since ChatGPT was released and ask yourself, 'Huh, it's only been four years.' That is like 1/20 of a single human's lifespan. If we've gone from the point where computers couldn't talk to computers now being capable of having full-on conversations with you and then solving Navier-Stokes problems in 1/20 of a human lifespan as of today, how far do you think technology and computers will go in one whole lifespan? The world will be completely unrecognizable.